The Moorish Wanderer

Exit Polls – PJD Goes Over The Top

Posted in Flash News, Intikhabates-Elections, Morocco, Tiny bit of Politics by Zouhair ABH on November 26, 2011

Poll results have not been fully returned yet, and there is, as far as I can tell, a definite body of evidence of a PJD coronation.Not only that, but it seems Abdelilah Benkirane’s party is ahead of the pack with so far 80 seats (according to Interior Minister Cherkaoui’s press briefing Saturday 26th at around 2pm local time).

Reuters reports:

Incomplete results from Friday’s vote indicate that the PJD will lead a coalition government in partnership with the secularist party of the outgoing prime minister and two other groups. […]

With results known for 288 seats in the 395-seat parliament, the PJD had 80 seats, said Cherkaoui, whose ministry organized the election. The Istiqlal party, headed by outgoing prime minister Abbas Al Fassi, was in second place with 45 seats, he said.

Asked if his party was willing to form a coalition with the PJD, Al Fassi told reporters: “Yes, yes. The PJD’s victory is a victory for democracy.”

The partial count gives the PJD, Istiqlal and two smaller parties — which said before the election they would govern as a coalition if they won — a total of 170 seats in parliament, just short of a majority.

Their rivals, a grouping of eight liberal parties with close ties to the royal palace, lagged behind with about 112 seats, according to the partial vote.

Now, whether PJD can for a government on their own is very unlikely, but if they do get to form a coalition, Koutla (USFP, PI and PPS) are more than willing to provide the remaining seats for a majority, and they can: these parties and PJD muster at least 165 seats on local ballot, and can more than make up for the remaining 33 to carry an absolute majority, the magic number of 198.

I have to admit I have been wrong: though I was confident PJD would not only hold their seats but acquire new ones, my assumptions were nothing compared to this magnitude: Casablanca, Rabat, Tangiers, Fez, even Marrakesh yielded very strong results for PJD candidates, and more symbolically, PJD managed to carry two seats with a constituency It has always failed to capture; It is now clear PJD has at least 2 seats, a rather strong footing in Sahrawi provinces.

You will find below the partial results as per MI press briefing:

Results Per announcement (Note: I might be wrong on some of the smaller parties - please notify if so)

More to come later.

8 Responses

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  1. vankaas said, on November 26, 2011 at 19:00

    Sahrawi provinces?

  2. Sandy said, on November 26, 2011 at 23:53

    Great post – thanks again

    Sandy@ theviewfromfez

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